When will our unmanned driving come?

As one of the hottest topics in the current car circle, the discussion of autonomous driving seems to be hotter than new energy and smart internet.

In September, Uber Taxi launched an unmanned fleet in Pittsburgh, including Volvo and Ford's driverless cars. Although previously, Google has conducted driverless test drives on Mountain Road, Mountain View, California, Austin, Texas, Kirkland, Washington, and Phoenix (Phoenix), Arizona. And this project has been going on for a few years, and Google has a 7-year data collection and extremely sophisticated technology – just in the first month of this month, Google announced a new version of the car connectivity solution that can be independently used on Android phones. Run without the need to integrate with new cars or third-party in-vehicle hardware. However, the establishment of Uber's Pittsburgh joint venture is still a landmark event that cheers the Americans. The world's first driverless taxi service was provided by Singapore at the end of August this year, with a slight advantage of only a few weeks. Uber.

Is our unmanned driving coming in the end?

Driverless cars have begun to carry passengers

Pittsburgh does not seem to be an ideal location. There are mountains and narrow streets, snowy and many bridges, which are not suitable for driving cars, especially for deploying driverless car navigation. But here is the world's most famous National Robotics Engineering Center of Carnegie Mellon University. In the winter of 2015, Uber spent a lot of money to dig 40 relevant researchers and engineers from here to form their own technology center. Pittsburgh launches the driverless car business.

Uber's driverless cars have begun to carry passengers, but they still provide "drivers" to deal with abnormal situations - of course, if it is said that this person is "driver" seems to be inappropriate, after all, most of the time, the car will be drive. Uber's ultimate goal is to surpass Google, Laifu, Daimler, Ford and General Motors, Baidu and Delphi, MBLY and Volvo and other competitors in the driverless sector. Obviously so many companies are too redundant to enter this business. . Hudi Lipson and Melba Coleman clearly put forward the issues related to driverless cars in the book "Unmanned: Smart Cars and the Road to the Future", and further elaborate on the circumstances under which All this will be possible.

When is the time of universalization still unclear?

At the moment, the timeline is still not clear enough. According to a report released by Morgan Stanley in 2013, “the car will have full autopilot capability” between 2018 and 2022. In 2026, driverless cars will achieve “100% market penetration”. According to IHS market research firm, almost all cars can be unmanned by 2050 – of course, a study by the University of Michigan says this time is 2030. Chris Ulmson, who was appointed by Google Inc. as the project manager for the driverless division, has a conservative view. In August this year, Ulmson announced his withdrawal from the project on his blog. “How long does it take for our products to enter the hands of customers? If you read the newspaper, you will find that this time may be three years, maybe 30 years... To be honest, both of these statements can be established.” Ulmson In the Austin Southwestern South Music Festival parade, the above statement, "This technology will almost certainly be gradually advanced. We hope to find a good weather, the road is also suitable for driving in the area to test, once successful, we will look for A more challenging area."

Series technology has been applied to new cars

People who buy new cars have discovered that a range of new technologies have been applied. These include an inductive wiper that automatically turns on when it rains, automatic braking when it is too close to the front car, a blind spot detector, a drift warning—a reminder when the driver enters another lane, and a cruise control to maintain the distance. The system and the car automatically parallel (side azimuth) parking capacity. Tesla cars apparently went further. In "unmanned" mode, they are able to guide, change lanes, and maintain the right speed without any manual intervention. In the video posted on the video site, Tesla's "driver" can read, play games, write, or jump into the back seat of the car when they are tired of driving. Although the company cautioned that the driver still needs to place his hand on the steering wheel when using the driverless mode.

Whether driving safety is still inconclusive

It's easy to understand why these new technologies can be sold to consumers – because it makes driving safer. In order to avoid rear-end collision, the driving vehicle will automatically decelerate. The driver of the car will be reminded before it may collide due to drift, and the car can control itself to avoid hitting the surrounding vehicle. The induction wiper can clean the windshield for the driver. Provide better visibility. Paradoxically, having these features can also make car driving less secure. As Lipson and Coleman mentioned, “responsibility determines splitting”, “When drivers think that cars are driving unmanned mode, their attention will not be concentrated or they will choose to do things other than driving. Last May, when When Sula driver Joshua Brown hit a truck at a speed of 74 miles per hour, the car did not "see" the white body of the trailer in the glare of Florida. The truck driver told the police that when he When I was close to the wreckage of the accident car, I found that the portable DVD on the car was still playing the video of Harry Potter.

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