Achieving full autonomy is a long way to go

What impact will smart cars have on the automotive industry in the future? Driverless, "pay," and even "marriage"! In September, car manufacturers, internet companies, and investors are all rushing into the smart car market, with cross-industry collaborations becoming a common sight. This trend is capturing the attention of many. Some research institutions predict that China's smart car market will reach 60 billion yuan by 2020. How will these intelligent vehicles reshape the entire automotive landscape? When will driverless cars move from science fiction to reality? [Image: A picture of a smart car, displayed here.] Car companies, internet firms, and capital are all competing to enter this rapidly growing market. On September 20, Baidu announced an upgrade to its Apollo smart car open platform, pledging to invest 10 billion yuan over three years to support more than 100 projects and build a comprehensive Apollo ecosystem. On September 27, Alibaba Group upgraded its operating system strategy and launched the new AliOS brand. It also emphasized collaboration with partners across the automotive supply chain to drive the industry's smart transformation. Meanwhile, car manufacturers and tech companies are forming strategic alliances. SAIC and Alibaba are developing internet-connected vehicles; Chery and Home are working together on smart home cars; GAC and Tencent are teaming up for multiple automotive intelligence initiatives. Baidu has partnered with Jianghuai Automobile and Chery, while Huawei is collaborating with Dongfeng Motor on smart car development. Investment funds and private equity firms are also entering the space, fueling the rapid growth of China’s smart car industry through integration and cross-border cooperation. According to a senior investor, “Leveraging each other’s strengths” is a key characteristic of China’s smart car development. “Smart cars are a cross-border innovation that no single entity can achieve alone. Cross-industry collaboration creates synergy, which is the hallmark of China’s smart car evolution.” Behind the enthusiasm lies national policy. In June, the China Intelligent Network Alliance Automotive Industry Innovation Alliance was established, bringing together industry associations, carmakers, tech companies, and research institutes. By September, the National Development and Reform Commission announced it had started drafting a national strategy for intelligent vehicle development, aiming to set clear directions, goals, and measures for the industry’s growth. “The development of smart cars is a major trend and a significant opportunity for China’s auto industry,” said an official from the National Development and Reform Commission. “Vehicles are important carriers for new technologies, and smart cars will be at the core of global industrial changes.” It is expected that by 2020, China’s smart car market will approach 60 billion yuan. With policy support and technological advancements, the pace of autonomous vehicle commercialization is accelerating. The market for connected vehicles, including hardware, sensors, and service platforms, could reach 100 billion yuan. How smart can a smart car really be? Imagine using it like a point-and-shoot camera. In July, Baidu CEO Li Yanhong shared a video of a driverless car, making it a national talking point. But what exactly defines a smart car? For many new drivers, parking is a daunting task. Smart cars equipped with automatic parking systems can ease the stress of novice drivers. Future cars may feature safe braking, adaptive cruise control, lane departure warnings, and Wi-Fi connectivity, allowing drivers to manage their vehicles effortlessly. “Intelligence is an inevitable trend in the automotive industry,” said BYD. “Smart cars range from basic driving assistance to fully automated systems, such as ACC adaptive cruise control and LDW lane departure warning systems.” A representative from the Ministry of Science and Technology noted that artificial intelligence will bring disruptive changes and become a key driver of the next industrial revolution. It will create new industries, business models, and transform daily life and thinking patterns. When will driverless cars hit the roads? Many car owners believe the focus should first be on improving the intelligence of existing vehicles while conducting R&D on full autonomy. Experts estimate that true driverless prototypes may emerge by 2020. However, several challenges remain. Safety is a top concern. In May 2016, a Tesla driver was killed while using the car’s autopilot feature. Although investigations found no design flaws, the incident raised questions about the safety of self-driving technology. Convenience is another issue. Will driverless cars truly reduce urban traffic jams? They rely heavily on internet infrastructure and cloud platforms. If city Wi-Fi is not widely available, how will they function? Legality is also a hurdle. Li Yanhong’s “Journey to Self-Drive” sparked debates over whether autonomous vehicles violate traffic laws. A car company pointed out that issues like complex road conditions, lack of regulations, and unclear testing authorities must be addressed before true driverless driving becomes possible. According to Liu Junfeng, general manager of HKUST’s automotive division, as smart car technology matures, traffic laws and infrastructure will improve accordingly. Road planning and driver awareness will also evolve with the arrival of autonomous vehicles.

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